Turnaround Mutual Funds: Few in Number, but Good Returns


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Turnaround Mutual Funds; Few in Number, but Good Returns

While we normally focus on individual stocks, we also constantly stress the importance of diversification. We suspect that many subscribers like to use mutual funds, which provide built-in diversification. Therefore, from time to time we highlight mutual funds that may be of interest for turnaround investors. In April 2011 we identified a group of mutual funds that focused, at least to some degree, on turnaround situations. Then, in March of this year, we wrote up a number of funds that were in turnaround mode themselves. These funds had strong long-term records but were trying to rebound from poor results in 2011. In this article we revisit the funds with a turnaround focus. Then, we will revisit the rebound funds early in 2013 to see how they did this year.

It remains surprisingly difficult to find funds that focus on turnarounds. (Although perhaps we shouldn’t be so surprised. Maybe the scarcity of turnaround-oriented funds just proves our assertion that most mainstream investors shy away from turnaround situations--thereby giving them unusually good profit potential.

On the whole, our group of turnaround funds has done well recently. Of the 12 funds on our list, eight of them have outperformed the S&P 500 so far this year--and that is after subtracting the funds’ management fees. (We recognize that most funds compare their results to a variety of specialized benchmarks, but we believe that any fund that can outperform the S&P is doing pretty well.) This article is excerpted from the October 2012 issue of The Turnaround Letter. Read the full subscriber-only version for fund descriptions and full purchase recommendation details.





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IBM: Not Yet Time to Swing at this Pitch

IBM’s stock underperformance since IBM’s current CEO took the helm in 2012 has been stark, with the shares declining 23% while the S&P500 Index has more than doubled. One big problem: revenue growth rate is zero, at best. Without revenue growth, what’s left to entice investors? The real driver of value at IBM – free cash flow that is used to repurchase shares. Can IBM borrow its way to shareholder prosperity as its cash flows shrink? What to do with IBM shares? Wait for a better pitch in the form of a catalyst or much lower valuation. Read More.

Comparing Stocks Vs. Bonds

While the common stock of a turnaround candidate usually has the greatest upside potential, other classes of securities, such as bonds or preferred stock, may offer attractive profit possibilities with less risk. Many turnaround companies have only one class of securities available to investors but where there are different classes to choose from, it can pay to do a little extra analysis of the various options.

Read More.

Turnaround Letter Stock Pick Named Top Performer of 2017


stock market advicex


What Last Year's Top Stock Pickers Are Buying in 2018


This Forbes write-up follows up on the recent Top Stock Tips report--naming The Turnaround Letter's Crocs recommendation the top performer of 2017: With 90% gains, CROX beat out 100 other investment ideas included in the report; and the stock continues to have value investing appeal, according to Putnam.


George notes, "We see additional upside for the stock in 2018 as management's efforts continue to bear fruit, though the gains will likely be more muted than we saw in 2017."