Transportation

Air Freight & Logistics; Airlines; Marine; Road & Rail; Transportation Infrastructure

ARTICLES

Bristow: Down But By No Means Out on “Disappointing” FY2019 Guidance

Helicopter services provider Bristow Group (NYSE: BRS) reported good 4Q18 results but provided FY2019 revenue and earnings guidance that were lower than the market expected, combined with recent oil price weakness. This news reversed the strong YTD stock performance. Despite this setback, the company continues to improve its operating performance, financial condition and leverage to an energy industry recovery.
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Boeing--Has The Business Cycle Been Repealed?

Boeing's 111% one-year return has left three of the fabled FANG stocks in the rearview mirror, with Netflix's 114% return only narrowly beating BA shares. Boeing's gains haven't been fueled much by the company's fundamentals, but rather by expectations for clear skies in the foreseeable future. The business cycle has yet to be repealed. Cloudy skies eventually will re-appear, and gravity's renewed effect on BA shares could be unpleasant.
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This month's investment newsletter includes two sale recommendations.

Sale Recommendations - November 2017

We now see more downside risk than upside potential for one of our previous large-cap stock picks. Additionally, we believe the likelihood of further gains in another stock from our mid-cap portfolio is now offset by fundamental risks and high valuation.
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The shipping business has become increasingly difficult to evaluate.

Sale Recommendation - September 2017

We recommend taking advantage of the recent strength in this stock and selling it now.
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DOCUMENTS AND FILES

Rolls-Royce

Bankruptcy Investing

Identify & Profit from Distressed Investing

Free Report: Turnaround Investing Mistakes

Turnaround Investing Blog

Turnaround Investing Blog

Amazon = US GDP 1970

Amazon joined Apple in reaching a $1 trillion market capitalization. $1 trillion is about the same as the total value of New York City property and the total value of loans at JP Morgan, the nation’s largest bank in terms of assets. Jeff Bezos’ $160 billion stake would place him (personally) as the #33 largest company in the S&P 500 in terms of market cap, next to Coca-Cola, Disney and Netflix. We aren’t bold enough to predict whether the shares will continue upwards or if they are in a bubble reaching maximum inflation. Setting aside for a moment their investment prospects, let’s admire the truly remarkable milestone that these two companies have reached. Read More.

EV/EBITDA: What Is It & Why Are We Using It More?

In reading recent editions of The Turnaround Letter, you have probably noticed that we are increasingly using EV/EBITDA as a valuation measure, rather than the better-known price/earnings multiple.  We thought it might be useful to describe this measure and why we like it.

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Turnaround Letter Stock Pick Named Top Performer of 2017

 

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What Last Year's Top Stock Pickers Are Buying in 2018

 

This Forbes write-up follows up on the recent Top Stock Tips report--naming The Turnaround Letter's Crocs recommendation the top performer of 2017: With 90% gains, CROX beat out 100 other investment ideas included in the report; and the stock continues to have value investing appeal, according to Putnam.

 

George notes, "We see additional upside for the stock in 2018 as management's efforts continue to bear fruit, though the gains will likely be more muted than we saw in 2017."