Real Estate

Real Estate; Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs); Real Estate Management & Development

ARTICLES

Purchase Recommendation - January 2019

This services company has an unusual niche in the energy and mining industries.

Weak oil prices, some relatively minor operating issues and highly risk-averse year-end investor sentiment has pushed its shares to near-record lows. Yet the company’s business is more durable than it might appear, the management continues to improve its operations, and it is generating positive operating free cash flow. While its shares carry significant risk, we believe the considerable return potential more than offsets the risks.


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Homebuilder Stocks: Time to Move In?

After a long period of enthusiasm for homebuilders’ stocks during the post-financial crisis recovery, the market has closed the door on this group. A major worry is that the housing cycle may be ending, partly due to recession fears and partly due to rising mortgage interest rates (approaching 5%), increasing home prices and new limits on the deductibility of property taxes that all make affordability a challenge to many potential buyers. Adding to the revenue pressures are higher labor, materials and land costs that combine to threaten homebuilders’ profits. However, unlike the excesses that built up during the 2006-2008 housing crisis, there is little evidence of an impending collapse.
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While this value stock offers considerable upside potential, it also carries significant risk.

Purchase Recommendation - July 2017

This small-cap stock pick disappointed investors almost from its first day as a public company, yet the Company has a lot of contrarian investing appeal: First, the accumulation of black marks has completely soured investors, leaving its shares trading at only 6.4x current year EBITDA. Further, its balance sheet and positive cash flow give the Company plenty of time for the fundamentals to rebound. Moreover, the Company continues to aggressively improve its cash flows in the face of its 62% revenue decline since 2014 and its positive free cash flow appears to be sustainable. With its considerable financial and operating leverage, this value stock is well-positioned to benefit from several opportunities.
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DOCUMENTS AND FILES

Bankruptcy Investing

Identify & Profit from Distressed Investing

Free Report: Turnaround Investing Mistakes

Turnaround Investing Blog

Turnaround Investing Blog

Who wants to buy stocks right now? Nobody.

At best, the broad stock market’s 15.8% drop since its peak only three months ago on September 20 has been disconcerting. The deeper 23% plunge in small cap stocks, as measured by the Russell 2000 index: startling. For the weakest 9% of S&P500 stocks – often those with some type of unfavorable macro exposure – their average loss of 40% in such a brief time has been simply jaw-dropping. Read More.

EV/EBITDA: What Is It & Why Are We Using It More?

In reading recent editions of The Turnaround Letter, you have probably noticed that we are increasingly using EV/EBITDA as a valuation measure, rather than the better-known price/earnings multiple.  We thought it might be useful to describe this measure and why we like it.

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Turnaround Letter Stock Pick Named Top Performer of 2017

 

stock market advicex

 

What Last Year's Top Stock Pickers Are Buying in 2018

 

This Forbes write-up follows up on the recent Top Stock Tips report--naming The Turnaround Letter's Crocs recommendation the top performer of 2017: With 90% gains, CROX beat out 100 other investment ideas included in the report; and the stock continues to have value investing appeal, according to Putnam.

 

George notes, "We see additional upside for the stock in 2018 as management's efforts continue to bear fruit, though the gains will likely be more muted than we saw in 2017."