Software & Services

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ARTICLES

First Data Made Progress in 4Q17

Data processing firm First Data Corporation (NYSE: FDC) continues to make progress with its revenue and EBITDA growth initiatives although debt paydown has been uninspiring.
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GE Provides Update on Insurance Costs--Turnaround Will Take A While

The insurance update from General Electric (NYSE: GE) shows that the costs are higher than we expected, but don't fundamentally impair the turnaround—but rather indicate that the turnaround will be more complicated and will take perhaps two to three years. New CEO Flannery suggested that a more aggressive breakup of GE is possible but this remains murky.
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GE Investor Day – Setting a Low Bar: Investors Should Keep Their GE Shares | Lowering Buy limit to 30

At their much-anticipated investor day, industrial conglomerate General Electric (NYSE: GE) set a low bar for their turnaround plan. Investors are aggressively selling GE shares--we believe that management set the bar so low that investors worry about the company’s future. Also, the aggressive selling is probably also driven in no small amount by anger/frustration, tax-loss harvesting and year-end window dressing. We recommend investors keep their GE shares. We are reducing our Buy limit to 30 but believe the company is finally on the right track.
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We expect that the discount will shrink after the deal is completed.

Sale Recommendation - September 2016

...but we recommend holding this stock through completion of the merger, collecting your cash and then selling the tracking stock shortly after you receive it.
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Valuation on estimated 2017 adjusted earnings of $1.52 per share is an attractive 8.2x.

Purchase Recommendation - June 2016

With an impressive and completely new turnaround management team in place, this company is redirecting its focus toward paying down its debt, lowering interest costs, streamlining operations and re-investing to help generate new revenue growth. As the market sees the company grow its cash flow and reduce its debt, investors should give the stock a higher multiple. Some patience may be required, but shareholders can take comfort from the fact that their interests are aligned with a buyout sponsor that still holds a 70%+ stake in the company.
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DOCUMENTS AND FILES

value stock pick

Identify & Profit from Distressed Investing

Free Report: Turnaround Investing Mistakes

Turnaround Investing Blog

Turnaround Investing Blog

Lessons from the 1st Turnaround Letter of 32 Years ago

In July, 1986, exactly 32 years ago, George Putnam sent the first Turnaround Letter to subscribers. Technology back then seems like the Stone Age, with hard copy research and primitive CompuServe dial-up service. Wall Street ignored turnaround stocks back then and continues to ignore them today. While technology has changed immensely in 32 years, The Turnaround Letter’s philosophy of selecting out-of-favor companies on the verge of turning around hasn’t changed. Our timeless process helped driven The Turnaround Letter’s independently-verified market-beating returns. Read More.

Comparing Stocks Vs. Bonds

While the common stock of a turnaround candidate usually has the greatest upside potential, other classes of securities, such as bonds or preferred stock, may offer attractive profit possibilities with less risk. Many turnaround companies have only one class of securities available to investors but where there are different classes to choose from, it can pay to do a little extra analysis of the various options.

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Turnaround Letter Stock Pick Named Top Performer of 2017

 

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What Last Year's Top Stock Pickers Are Buying in 2018

 

This Forbes write-up follows up on the recent Top Stock Tips report--naming The Turnaround Letter's Crocs recommendation the top performer of 2017: With 90% gains, CROX beat out 100 other investment ideas included in the report; and the stock continues to have value investing appeal, according to Putnam.

 

George notes, "We see additional upside for the stock in 2018 as management's efforts continue to bear fruit, though the gains will likely be more muted than we saw in 2017."