High Yield Bonds

Corporate bonds rated below investment grade

ARTICLES

High Yield Bonds: Two Pictures Signal Caution

Excerpted from the February 2018 Issue
While we generally like high yield bonds as a place to invest--the BofA/Merrill Lynch High Yield Index has a solid 10-year annualized total return of 7.8%, high yield returns tend to be somewhat cyclical. And, to quote an experienced high yield investor we know, the cycles "tend to end badly." The two graphs in this article suggest that we may be coming to a bumpy end to the current good times in the high yield market.
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We think so-called junk bonds may be of interest to turnaround investors.

High Yield Bonds: Proceed With Caution

While we like high yield bonds generally as a place to invest, we are cautious about the asset class right now for a couple of reasons.
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How to Find Promising Distressed Securities

George Putnam continues his series on investing in distressed securities--this time focusing on how to find publicly traded distressed securities that might be promising investment candidates.
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We expect to see bankruptcy activity increase away from the energy sector.

Mid-Year Corporate Bankruptcy Update

Excerpted from the July 2016 Issue
Energy-related companies dominated the filings, with ten of the fifteen largest bankruptcies coming from this capital-intensive industry. Similarly, over 80% of all $86 billion in assets entering bankruptcy were from energy-related companies.
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Mid-Year Stock Market Update: "Near Record Highs" But It Doesn't Feel That Way

Excerpted from the July 2016 Issue
So, where do we go from here? With the S&P 500 Index having already exceeded the 3% return we anticipated in our January issue, we have modest expectations for the rest of the year. Valuations for large-cap stocks remain high, and earnings growth looks tepid. Stocks with “low volatility” and stable earnings appear particularly expensive to us. Smaller-cap stocks, value stocks and those with unique situations continue to look much more appealing. In general, we expect the U.S. economy to...
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The first half of 2016's stock market activity could be summarized by one word: volatility.

Mid-Year Market Update: "Near Record Highs" But It Doesn't Feel That Way

So, where do we go from here? With the S&P 500 Index having already exceeded the 3% return we anticipated in our January issue, we have modest expectations for the rest of the year. Valuations for large-cap stocks remain high, and earnings growth looks tepid. Stocks with “low volatility” and stable earnings appear particularly expensive to us. Smaller-cap stocks, value stocks and those with unique situations continue to look much more appealing. In general, we expect the U.S. economy to...
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Many asset manager stocks have rebounded a bit yet still have great upside potential.

Investment Manager Stocks: Out of Favor Does Not Mean Out of Business

The story on traditional asset managers sounds bleak: “Everyone” is moving to ETFs, index funds or hedge funds; oil-producing countries are withdrawing capital; stock market turmoil is scaring people away from equities while interest rate uncertainty is scaring them away from bonds and more regulations are raising costs. Out of favor, however, doesn’t mean out of business and we think these nine value stocks look particularly interesting.
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We remain very cautious about high yield bonds.

High Yield Bonds: Cloudy Outlook for 2016

Last year at this time we urged caution in approaching high yield bonds. That caution proved well-founded as the asset class had a poor year.
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There will be years that large, mainstream stocks will perform badly, and that's when contrarian funds like these can really shine.

Turnaround Mutual Funds: Looking for Managers Who Go Against the Crowd

While we normally focus on individual stocks, from time to time we like to look at mutual funds that focus on turnarounds. Mutual funds can be attractive for many investors because a single fund can provide fairly broad diversification across a large number of stocks.
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DOCUMENTS AND FILES

Bankruptcy Investing

Identify & Profit from Distressed Investing

Free Report: Turnaround Investing Mistakes

Turnaround Investing Blog

Turnaround Investing Blog

Is there value in bankrupt PG&E’s stock?

In nearly every case, the shares of a company in bankruptcy become worthless. In very rare cases, however, they can become great investments. W.R. Grace (NYSE:GRA) shares produced a 75-fold return, as an example. With California utility PG&E (NYSE:PCG) now in bankruptcy, the range of possible outcomes for its equity is wide.

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EV/EBITDA: What Is It & Why Are We Using It More?

In reading recent editions of The Turnaround Letter, you have probably noticed that we are increasingly using EV/EBITDA as a valuation measure, rather than the better-known price/earnings multiple.  We thought it might be useful to describe this measure and why we like it.

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Turnaround Letter Stock Pick Named Top Performer of 2017

 

stock market advicex

 

What Last Year's Top Stock Pickers Are Buying in 2018

 

This Forbes write-up follows up on the recent Top Stock Tips report--naming The Turnaround Letter's Crocs recommendation the top performer of 2017: With 90% gains, CROX beat out 100 other investment ideas included in the report; and the stock continues to have value investing appeal, according to Putnam.

 

George notes, "We see additional upside for the stock in 2018 as management's efforts continue to bear fruit, though the gains will likely be more muted than we saw in 2017."