Telecom service companies seem to be out of favor quite often. Nevertheless, some telecom companies have been quite successful, and their stocks can soar when investors eventually take notice. After surveying the shifting telecom landscape, we think there are a number of interesting value opportunities in the group.
NII Holdings’ sole business Nextel Brazil continues to struggle to slow the rapid decline of its older iDEN wireless business while it works to improve its 3G/4G operations. Aggressive cost-cutting is helping but its cash balances continue to decline. The proposed easing of regulatory hurdles would increase its chances of being acquired at a sizeable premium.
Shares of wireless operator NII Holdings (Nasdaq: NIHD) have surged as a recent proposal by the Brazilian wireless regulator could prompt a round of mergers that might include Nextel Brazil. Raising our Buy limit to $2.
Telecom equipment maker Nokia (NYSE: NOK) reported improved fourth quarter results. It appears increasingly ready to capture and profit from the growing opportunities in the 5G technology that will replace the current 4G/LTE wireless technology.
Although George hates to choose favorites among his stock picks, this free e-report details The Turnaround Letter's "Top Five Turnaround Stocks for 2018"--including a diverse selection of value stock opportunities poised for a rebound. This is the perfect tool to grow your turnaround investing portfolio and lock in stock profit in a potentially declining market.
NII Holdings reported a cash operating loss in 3Q, but only $22 million in net cash outflows (cash burn). We believe NII’s overall strategy to sell its highly valuable Brazil wireless spectrum and other assets to one of the other operators at a substantially higher price than the current share price implies. The company’s assets could be worth well north of $5/share. However, their stand-alone wireless business does not likely have much if any fundamental value, given their precarious operating position in a highly-competitive Brazilian market and their on-going cash burn. We consider an investment in NIHD shares to be speculative. Investors retaining their shares should be willing to accept potentially sizeable losses in exchange for the possibility of substantial upside. Investors not willing to accept this risk should exit their NIHD positions.
Recently I was asked how my investing perspective changed over the 32 years of publishing The Turnaround Letter. It's a fascinating question because change is constant, and often beneficial (although that's not a given) in the business world. If change is the norm, can investing principles stay constant? I firmly believe that they can.
EV/EBITDA: What Is It & Why Are We Using It More?
In reading recent editions of The Turnaround Letter, you have probably noticed that we are increasingly using EV/EBITDA as a valuation measure, rather than the better-known price/earnings multiple. We thought it might be useful to describe this measure and why we like it.
This Forbeswrite-up follows up on the recent Top Stock Tips report--naming The Turnaround Letter's Crocs recommendation the top performer of 2017: With 90% gains, CROX beat out 100 other investment ideas included in the report; and the stock continues to have value investing appeal, according to Putnam.
George notes, "We see additional upside for the stock in 2018 as management's efforts continue to bear fruit, though the gains will likely be more muted than we saw in 2017."