Insurance

Insurance

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GNW Receives CFIUS Approval, Changing Recommendation to SELL

Insurance company Genworth Financial (NYSE: GNW) received approval from CFIUS, a key U.S. regulator, for its pending acquisition by Chinese company Oceanwide. With the shares currently about 20% above our Buy limit and only 12% below the $5.43 acquisition price, as well as the potential that other regulatory hurdles or financing concerns may impede the deal, we are changing our recommendation to a SELL. GNW shares are up about 70% from our March 2018 initial recommendation price.
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This stock is in limbo, but there are two paths to significant gains for shareholders.

Purchase Recommendation - March 2018

While an investment in this mid-cap insurer carries significant, speculative risks, we believe that the upside potential justifies these risks. On the one hand, there is a determined buyer working toward completing a cash deal worth 90% more than the current share price. On the other hand, if the deal fails to pass regulatory muster, the company is currently valued at a remarkably low 11% of book value and 2x earnings, even as the underlying businesses appear to be improving.
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This stock moved up pretty steadily over the past year.

Sale Recommendation - October 2017

We are recommending Turnaround Letter readers sell this mid-cap to reflect full valuation and completion of the turnaround.
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Ally Financial Announces Acquisition of TradeKing Group

Ally Financial (NYSE: ALLY) announced that it has signed an agreement to acquire TradeKing Group, Inc., a digital wealth management company, for about $275 million. The transaction is expected to close in the third quarter and includes an online broker/dealer, a digital portfolio management platform, and educational content and social collaboration channels.
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Identify & Profit from Distressed Investing

Free Report: Turnaround Investing Mistakes

Turnaround Investing Blog

Turnaround Investing Blog

Amazon = US GDP 1970

Amazon joined Apple in reaching a $1 trillion market capitalization. $1 trillion is about the same as the total value of New York City property and the total value of loans at JP Morgan, the nation’s largest bank in terms of assets. Jeff Bezos’ $160 billion stake would place him (personally) as the #33 largest company in the S&P 500 in terms of market cap, next to Coca-Cola, Disney and Netflix. We aren’t bold enough to predict whether the shares will continue upwards or if they are in a bubble reaching maximum inflation. Setting aside for a moment their investment prospects, let’s admire the truly remarkable milestone that these two companies have reached. Read More.

EV/EBITDA: What Is It & Why Are We Using It More?

In reading recent editions of The Turnaround Letter, you have probably noticed that we are increasingly using EV/EBITDA as a valuation measure, rather than the better-known price/earnings multiple.  We thought it might be useful to describe this measure and why we like it.

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Turnaround Letter Stock Pick Named Top Performer of 2017

 

stock market advicex

 

What Last Year's Top Stock Pickers Are Buying in 2018

 

This Forbes write-up follows up on the recent Top Stock Tips report--naming The Turnaround Letter's Crocs recommendation the top performer of 2017: With 90% gains, CROX beat out 100 other investment ideas included in the report; and the stock continues to have value investing appeal, according to Putnam.

 

George notes, "We see additional upside for the stock in 2018 as management's efforts continue to bear fruit, though the gains will likely be more muted than we saw in 2017."