Don't be Trendy!

Turnaround investors must be especially wary of trendy sectors. Recently, this has been demonstrated by the dramatic implosion of several “green” energy companies, including wind and solar energy providers. We’ve seendramatic falls from grace many times before. A few stocks, or a whole sector, catch the public’s fancy. Share prices skyrocket…only to come crashing back to earth a few months or quarters later. Solar power is simply the latest in a long list of fashionable sectors—after telecom, Internet and theme-based dining, to name just a few.

The Turnaround Letter’s one rule in choosing stocks is that there must be a solid core business with long-term viability. Although these trendy companies can sometimes find a way to make money, most of the time that does not happen. The trendy theme may merely be a passing fad, or the business model that looked so good on paper may not actually work.

Sometimes the business concept may be okay, but it turns out that someone else can execute it more cheaply. That’s what has happened in the solar power sector: Chinese solar companies are eating everyone else’s lunch. For a successful turnaround to work, you always need a solid, viable core business.

The bottom line? Trendy companies rarely present good distressed investment opportunities.

More Turnaround Tips

Identify & Profit from Distressed Investing

Free Report: Distressed Investing

Turnaround Investing Blog

Turnaround Investing Blog

Return of Volatility? No, Return of "Normal"

Sizeable market moves can increase the temptation to sell on downdrafts and buy on upswings; however, we strongly advise against attempting to do that. The chances of getting out at the right time and then back in again before the market rebounds are extremely slim. Read More.

Harnessing Activists to Help Find Turnaround Stocks

Activist investors often produce attractive returns for their clients; and you can still use their influence to help your position as a turnaround investor in two ways: Buy a position in a stock with the expectation that an activist will soon follow or buy after an activist takes a stake.


Value Investing


While one of the many dozens of activist funds might find their way to selecting your particular stock, this approach is likely to be frustrating and unrewarding. A better approach is to buy after the activist makes their move. Once an activist takes a stake in a company, how do you evaluate whether it is worthwhile to follow on? Admittedly, this is a bit of an art... Learn how you can harness the power of activist investors to find market-beating turnaround stocks.

Turnaround Letter Stock Pick Named Top Performer of 2017


stock market advicex


What Last Year's Top Stock Pickers Are Buying in 2018


This Forbes write-up follows up on the recent Top Stock Tips report--naming The Turnaround Letter's Crocs recommendation the top performer of 2017: With 90% gains, CROX beat out 100 other investment ideas included in the report; and the stock continues to have value investing appeal, according to Putnam.


George notes, "We see additional upside for the stock in 2018 as management's efforts continue to bear fruit, though the gains will likely be more muted than we saw in 2017."