The Turnaround Letter

December 2016

Volume: 31
Edition: 6

Stock Pick & Stock Sales

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This REIT carries some execution risk, but we like its very attractive valuation and aggressive new management.

Purchase Recommendation - December 2016

This mid-cap's revenue and earnings appear to be stable, operating results are well above debt covenant limits, cash flows look reasonably healthy and overall liquidity is substantial. The value stock's very high 10% dividend appears well-covered. Valuation at 5.8x next year’s FFO is nearly half that of its peers, leaving strong upside potential. 
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Turnaround Investing Articles

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In light of the Trump presidency, we might explore this battered industry...

The Trump Effect

The stock market’s sentiment certainly changed following the presidential election: After trading down for nine consecutive days followed by a sharp drop in the overnight futures market, the S&P 500 rebounded over 3% to record highs. Investors have newfound enthusiasm for domestic economic growth, as a Trump presidency could bring new infrastructure spending, lighter regulatory burdens and lower corporate taxes. While the distance between campaign promises and corporate profits can be vast, we agree with the market’s general assessment of how government policies might change.
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7 Year-End Bounce Value Stock Picks

December is Bargain Hunting Time

It’s that time of the year again--bargain hunting season. Holiday shoppers flock to the malls and their favorite websites, and savvy investors search the stock market for year-end discounts. While our approach at The Turnaround Letter is heavily focused on long-term business fundamentals and underlying valuations, even we can be tempted by unusual short-term opportunities at year-end created by artificial selling pressure as investors toss their losers.
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Turnaround News & Updates

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Check out these value-adds.

Turnaround Letter Website Improvements

We are constantly on the lookout for ways to provide you, the subscriber, with more valuable and timely information regarding The Turnaround Letter stocks and turnaround investing.
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Identify & Profit from Distressed Investing

Free Report: Turnaround Investing Mistakes

Turnaround Investing Blog

Turnaround Investing Blog

Tupperware: Not a Good Fit as a Turnaround Stock

At first glance, the shares have decent appeal as a turnaround investment. Looking deeper, however, the fundamentals are not as strong and stable as they appear. Surplus cash flow is tight, a key driver is weakening, it is increasingly reliant on China and has other nagging issues. We don’t see the new CEO as a catalyst for change. Despite the “first glance appeal”, Tupperware isn’t a good fit as a turnaround stock. Read More.

Comparing Stocks Vs. Bonds

While the common stock of a turnaround candidate usually has the greatest upside potential, other classes of securities, such as bonds or preferred stock, may offer attractive profit possibilities with less risk. Many turnaround companies have only one class of securities available to investors but where there are different classes to choose from, it can pay to do a little extra analysis of the various options.

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Turnaround Letter Stock Pick Named Top Performer of 2017

 

stock market advicex

 

What Last Year's Top Stock Pickers Are Buying in 2018

 

This Forbes write-up follows up on the recent Top Stock Tips report--naming The Turnaround Letter's Crocs recommendation the top performer of 2017: With 90% gains, CROX beat out 100 other investment ideas included in the report; and the stock continues to have value investing appeal, according to Putnam.

 

George notes, "We see additional upside for the stock in 2018 as management's efforts continue to bear fruit, though the gains will likely be more muted than we saw in 2017."