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Metal Turnaround Stocks: From Laggards to Leaders Preview

 

Want to know what George Putnam is recommending to readers of his Turnaround Letter? The articles previewed below offer you a sneak peak of the quality content and sound investment guidance you can trust. To view his most recent recommendations click here.

 

 

Metal Turnaround Stocks: From Laggards to Leaders?

In 2012 most asset classes (such as stocks and bonds) performed well, but a noticeable laggard was commodities and commodity-related investments. Among other things, that asset class was hurt by concerns about the downturn in the European economies and a possible slowdown in China. As a result, the steel and aluminum stocks were among the worst performers in the global stock markets.

This grabbed our attention for two reasons, one technical and the other fundamental. On the technical side, investor views can change rapidly, and we’ve often seen one year’s losers become the next year’s winners.

On the fundamental side, there are several economic factors that could work to the benefit of the metals producers. Over the last decade or so, there has been steady consolidation in the sector. Large producers have gobbled up smaller producers around the globe, thereby reducing competition. Low energy prices in North America will help the U.S. metals companies. There are signs of a nascent rebound in construction in the U.S.--homebuilding is already on the mend, and commercial construction usually follows. There are also signs that the slowdown in China may not be as great as many investors feared.

Put all these things together and it makes the steel and aluminum stocks look like very attractive turnaround investment candidates. The stocks detailed and recommended in the February 2013 Turnaround Letter are all large, global producers that would benefit greatly from a rebound in the sector.

 

 

Read your free preview of The Turnaround Letter's most recent recommendations now!

 

 


 

 

 

 


 

 

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IBM: Not Yet Time to Swing at this Pitch

IBM’s stock underperformance since IBM’s current CEO took the helm in 2012 has been stark, with the shares declining 23% while the S&P500 Index has more than doubled. One big problem: revenue growth rate is zero, at best. Without revenue growth, what’s left to entice investors? The real driver of value at IBM – free cash flow that is used to repurchase shares. Can IBM borrow its way to shareholder prosperity as its cash flows shrink? What to do with IBM shares? Wait for a better pitch in the form of a catalyst or much lower valuation. Read More.

Comparing Stocks Vs. Bonds

While the common stock of a turnaround candidate usually has the greatest upside potential, other classes of securities, such as bonds or preferred stock, may offer attractive profit possibilities with less risk. Many turnaround companies have only one class of securities available to investors but where there are different classes to choose from, it can pay to do a little extra analysis of the various options.

Read More.

Turnaround Letter Stock Pick Named Top Performer of 2017

 

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What Last Year's Top Stock Pickers Are Buying in 2018

 

This Forbes write-up follows up on the recent Top Stock Tips report--naming The Turnaround Letter's Crocs recommendation the top performer of 2017: With 90% gains, CROX beat out 100 other investment ideas included in the report; and the stock continues to have value investing appeal, according to Putnam.

 

George notes, "We see additional upside for the stock in 2018 as management's efforts continue to bear fruit, though the gains will likely be more muted than we saw in 2017."