Sell When They Want to Buy; Buy When They Want to Sell

Investors know that it’s always easier to sell a stock when it is going up--the more people who want to buy your stock, the better the price. I also strongly believe that it never pays to be greedy when it comes to the stock market. There is an old Wall Street saying, “Bulls make money; bears make money but pigs get slaughtered.”

Investors who consistently pursue a bullish long-term strategy can make money, as can investors who consistently apply a bearish strategy. The investors who do poorly--i.e. “get slaughtered”--are those who are greedy and who always chase the hot stocks or hold onto stocks too long.

You will almost never be able to sell a stock at exactly the right time--just as it peaks and starts to go down. If you try to do that, more often than not you will find yourself selling just as everyone decides to sell too and the price is falling like a rock. All of this said, selling is rarely easy.

In fact, I generally find selling much harder than buying. It is frequently pretty easy to spot a stock that is undervalued, but you may have to wait a while for other investors to realize how cheap your stock is and bid it up. If you’ve done your analysis correctly though, they eventually will. I often find it difficult to determine when a stock is getting fully valued. When a stock is rising, that usually means that there are a lot of smart people who have good reasons why they think it will go much higher still…and they may be right--for a while.

That is why we often recommend selling stocks that are performing very well. One of the keys to making money in the stock market is being content with taking solid profits--and leaving the pigs to fight over the last few points. 

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IBM: Not Yet Time to Swing at this Pitch

IBM’s stock underperformance since IBM’s current CEO took the helm in 2012 has been stark, with the shares declining 23% while the S&P500 Index has more than doubled. One big problem: revenue growth rate is zero, at best. Without revenue growth, what’s left to entice investors? The real driver of value at IBM – free cash flow that is used to repurchase shares. Can IBM borrow its way to shareholder prosperity as its cash flows shrink? What to do with IBM shares? Wait for a better pitch in the form of a catalyst or much lower valuation. Read More.

Comparing Stocks Vs. Bonds

While the common stock of a turnaround candidate usually has the greatest upside potential, other classes of securities, such as bonds or preferred stock, may offer attractive profit possibilities with less risk. Many turnaround companies have only one class of securities available to investors but where there are different classes to choose from, it can pay to do a little extra analysis of the various options.

Read More.

Turnaround Letter Stock Pick Named Top Performer of 2017


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What Last Year's Top Stock Pickers Are Buying in 2018


This Forbes write-up follows up on the recent Top Stock Tips report--naming The Turnaround Letter's Crocs recommendation the top performer of 2017: With 90% gains, CROX beat out 100 other investment ideas included in the report; and the stock continues to have value investing appeal, according to Putnam.


George notes, "We see additional upside for the stock in 2018 as management's efforts continue to bear fruit, though the gains will likely be more muted than we saw in 2017."