Turnaround Investing Blog

George Putnam, one of the country's leading turnaround and distressed investing professionals, shares his timely insight on the economy and turnaround investing opportunities.

Post-Bankruptcy Stocks

Post-Bankruptcy Stock Picks: Under-Followed & Undervalued

Excerpted from October 2013 Issue

Post-bankruptcy stocks are often undervalued because they are usually ignored by mainstream investors who perceive them (often wrongly) as being of poor quality and very risky. These investors remember the bad things that happened to the company to force it into bankruptcy. What they don’t understand is that many companies take advantage of Chapter 11 to reshape their businesses and balance sheets so that they emerge as very strong competitors. As a result, post-bankruptcy stocks can provide good returns to savvy investors who are not swayed by their past history but focus on the future prospects.

After recently introducing our Post-Bankruptcy Stock IndexTM (PBSI), several readers have asked how they can best use the Index to uncover potential stock profit. We created the PBSI with three objectives. First, we wanted to show that at least over certain time periods, post-bankruptcy stocks can significantly outperform more mainstream stocks. The PBSI is already proving this point quite effectively. Over the past 12 months, the PBSI has gained 40.7% compared to 16.9% for the S&P 500. It is also worth noting that the 12 post-reorganization stocks highlighted when we last wrote about this area in September 2011 have gained an average of 73% compared to 38% for the S&P 500 over the same time period.

Second, we wanted to highlight some of the more actively traded post-bankruptcy stocks for investors who want to add some post-bankruptcy opportunities to their portfolio. Finally, we thought that the Index could provide a useful gauge as to whether post-bankruptcy stocks were more in favor than usual or more out of favor than usual at any given time.

While the PBSI shows that post-bankruptcy stocks have outperformed over the past year, they have only performed more or less in line with the broader stock market over the past several months and have actually underperformed the NASDAQ Index over the last 3 months (PBSI +7.1% vs. NASDAQ +10.8%). That suggests that while this may not be the absolute best time to buy post-bankruptcy stocks, it’s not a bad time either.

The October 2013 issue of The Turnaround Letter identifies 10 stock picks—each of which emerged from Chapter 11 over the last several years and look to us as though they are still undervalued. We also offer a few thoughts on a very prominent name that recently emerged from Chapter 11 protection and whose post-reorganization stock is likely to begin trading soon. Learn more about our most current post-bankruptcy stock picks

Read More Distressed Investing Blog Entries

 

 

Identify & Profit from Distressed Investing

Free Report: Turnaround Investing Mistakes

Turnaround Investing Blog

Turnaround Investing Blog

IBM: Not Yet Time to Swing at this Pitch

IBM’s stock underperformance since IBM’s current CEO took the helm in 2012 has been stark, with the shares declining 23% while the S&P500 Index has more than doubled. One big problem: revenue growth rate is zero, at best. Without revenue growth, what’s left to entice investors? The real driver of value at IBM – free cash flow that is used to repurchase shares. Can IBM borrow its way to shareholder prosperity as its cash flows shrink? What to do with IBM shares? Wait for a better pitch in the form of a catalyst or much lower valuation. Read More.

Comparing Stocks Vs. Bonds

While the common stock of a turnaround candidate usually has the greatest upside potential, other classes of securities, such as bonds or preferred stock, may offer attractive profit possibilities with less risk. Many turnaround companies have only one class of securities available to investors but where there are different classes to choose from, it can pay to do a little extra analysis of the various options.

Read More.

Turnaround Letter Stock Pick Named Top Performer of 2017

 

stock market advicex

 

What Last Year's Top Stock Pickers Are Buying in 2018

 

This Forbes write-up follows up on the recent Top Stock Tips report--naming The Turnaround Letter's Crocs recommendation the top performer of 2017: With 90% gains, CROX beat out 100 other investment ideas included in the report; and the stock continues to have value investing appeal, according to Putnam.

 

George notes, "We see additional upside for the stock in 2018 as management's efforts continue to bear fruit, though the gains will likely be more muted than we saw in 2017."