Turnaround Investing Blog

George Putnam, one of the country's leading turnaround and distressed investing professionals, shares his timely insight on the economy and turnaround investing opportunities.

Stocks That Pay Dividends

Defense Stocks: Cliff May Not Be That Steep?

Excerpted from December 2012 Issue

As we approach the so-called “fiscal cliff,” investors are clearly very nervous about defense stocks. Most of the stocks in this sector fell very sharply after the election, and while they have bounced back somewhat since mid-November, they still look pretty cheap to us.

Of course, these investor concerns are not completely unfounded. If Congress and the White House cannot come up with a compromise and we go over the “cliff,” there would be mandatory cuts in federal defense spending. Our best guess--and we emphasize “guess”--is that Washington will find a way to avoid the cliff. But we also believe that most, if not all, of the risks from the cliff are already priced into defense stocks. 

Also, many of the defense stocks spotlighted in our full December 2012 article pay healthy dividends, which should dampen any fiscal cliff-related volatility. Many of these Turnaround Letter stock recommendations have also been stockpiling cash over the last couple of years, which they could use to further enhance their dividends or to repurchase stock. Subscribe now (or log in if already a subscriber) to learn which defense industry hot stock picks you should add to your turnaround investing portfolio.

 

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Is there value in bankrupt PG&E’s stock?

In nearly every case, the shares of a company in bankruptcy become worthless. In very rare cases, however, they can become great investments. W.R. Grace (NYSE:GRA) shares produced a 75-fold return, as an example. With California utility PG&E (NYSE:PCG) now in bankruptcy, the range of possible outcomes for its equity is wide.

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EV/EBITDA: What Is It & Why Are We Using It More?

In reading recent editions of The Turnaround Letter, you have probably noticed that we are increasingly using EV/EBITDA as a valuation measure, rather than the better-known price/earnings multiple.  We thought it might be useful to describe this measure and why we like it.

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Turnaround Letter Stock Pick Named Top Performer of 2017

 

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What Last Year's Top Stock Pickers Are Buying in 2018

 

This Forbes write-up follows up on the recent Top Stock Tips report--naming The Turnaround Letter's Crocs recommendation the top performer of 2017: With 90% gains, CROX beat out 100 other investment ideas included in the report; and the stock continues to have value investing appeal, according to Putnam.

 

George notes, "We see additional upside for the stock in 2018 as management's efforts continue to bear fruit, though the gains will likely be more muted than we saw in 2017."