Turnaround Investing Blog

George Putnam, one of the country's leading turnaround and distressed investing professionals, shares his timely insight on the economy and turnaround investing opportunities.

Chicago Cubs Demonstrate the Value of Leadership in Organizational Turnarounds

Leadership matters. Whether in sports or in business, an organization is not just a collection of people, cash, physical property, intellectual property and other assets. Not every new management team is highly capable and new leadership cannot always overcome dire strategic situations or the quagmire of a decaying industry; but without good leadership, no business can prosper for long--much less survive.
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Risk & Diversification

While important to any investment program, diversification is critical to successful turnaround investing. 
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Volatility Up, Rates to Follow?

Excerpted from the October 2016 Issue
While everyone expects the stock market to drop in response to a rate hike, in the past the opposite has often happened. Interest rate rises are usually in response to strength in the economy, which is generally good for stocks. The effect on bonds is much more clear-cut: when rates go up bond prices go down.
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Mind the GAAP Gap

Excerpted from the September 2016 Issue
A good place to start is in the company’s filings with the SEC--in which Non-GAAP earnings must be reconciled with GAAP results. Earnings conference call transcripts, available for free for most companies, can reveal management’s reasoning. Investors will also want to look at history--how often and how large have adjustments been over the past five years? To be most effective, the investor can use both GAAP and Non-GAAP numbers. Minding the GAAP gap can help improve the chances that your stock profits become recurring.
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Avoid This Common Turnaround Investing Mistake

Turnaround investors recognize the opportunity in a battered stock well before the rest of the market and want to pounce immediately. But even if the fundamentals look attractive and there is a margin of safety in the valuation, the stock can still decline--sometimes substantially.
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Identify & Profit from Distressed Investing

Free Report: Distressed Investing

Turnaround Investing Blog

Turnaround Investing Blog

Free Turnaround Letter Research Report: Bioverativ (NYSE: BIVV)

We're sharing this complimentary copy of our full Research Report for Bioverativ (NYSE: BIVV)—20+ pages of financial analysis, investment philosophy and straightforward explanation. BIVV, our most recent closed out purchase recommendation, brought Turnaround Letter readers 95% stock profit in seven short months. Read More.

Harnessing Activists to Help Find Turnaround Stocks

Activist investors often produce attractive returns for their clients; and you can still use their influence to help your position as a turnaround investor in two ways: Buy a position in a stock with the expectation that an activist will soon follow or buy after an activist takes a stake.

 

Value Investing

 

While one of the many dozens of activist funds might find their way to selecting your particular stock, this approach is likely to be frustrating and unrewarding. A better approach is to buy after the activist makes their move. Once an activist takes a stake in a company, how do you evaluate whether it is worthwhile to follow on? Admittedly, this is a bit of an art... Learn how you can harness the power of activist investors to find market-beating turnaround stocks.

Turnaround Letter Stock Pick Named Top Performer of 2017

 

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What Last Year's Top Stock Pickers Are Buying in 2018

 

This Forbes write-up follows up on the recent Top Stock Tips report--naming The Turnaround Letter's Crocs recommendation the top performer of 2017: With 90% gains, CROX beat out 100 other investment ideas included in the report; and the stock continues to have value investing appeal, according to Putnam.

 

George notes, "We see additional upside for the stock in 2018 as management's efforts continue to bear fruit, though the gains will likely be more muted than we saw in 2017."