Each year MoneyShow selects a "Top Pick" for the coming year based on its potential performance and profits in the new year. This year, George Putnam was selected to make the Top Pick for 2017: Oaktree Capital Group (OAK).Read More
Distressed bonds can be priced below their fair value when the supply of distressed securities overwhelms the demand, creating higher returns for buyers if the company recovers. To astute investors, these extra discounts can tilt the game to their favor.Read More
Excerpted from the January 2017 Issue
While we believe that overall bankruptcy activity will remain at a high level for the foreseeable future, we think that filings in the energy sector may have peaked. We are optimistic that the increasing bankruptcy activity will provide some very attractive opportunities for turnaround investors.Read More
With U.S. stocks well into their eighth year of a bull market and the economy showing increasing signs of strength, finding ideal turnaround stocks--those with all three ingredients--can be a needle-in-the-haystack project at best. What is an investor to do in a seemingly barren value stock landscape?Read More
Excerpted from the January 2017 Issue
The market’s previous assumptions about the U.S. economy--sluggish growth, rising government regulation, near-zero interest rates--seem to have reversed overnight with the election of Donald Trump. We think the changes run deeper. Households and companies are starting to move past the financial crisis, which peaked eight years ago. Demand is picking up. With it, there is a good chance that the deflationary environment is shifting back toward inflation. Trump’s election could further boost growth through more government spending and fewer regulations. Risks to the markets may increase in 2017, and investors prepared for volatility can better hold firm when it arrives.Read More
Adding a sizable debt burden on top of the profit uncertainty will further expand the range of possible outcomes; and this very wide range creates inefficient pricing, as investors can have very different views on what these bonds are actually worth. For the buyer of distressed bonds, this uncertainty and inefficiency are powerful sources of potentially high returns.Read More
Distressed investing usually involves greater risk than turnaround investing, but can also offer higher returns. Given the risk, most investors in distressed securities focus on bonds, which can provide greater downside protection.Read More
It’s bargain hunting season again. Holiday shoppers flock to the malls and their favorite websites, and savvy investors search the stock market for year-end discounts.Read More
Excerpted from the December 2016 Issue
Investors have newfound enthusiasm for domestic economic growth, as a Trump presidency could bring new infrastructure spending, lighter regulatory burdens and lower corporate taxes. While the distance between campaign promises and corporate profits can be vast, we agree with the market’s general assessment of how government policies might change.Read More
Excerpted from the November 2016 Issue
A common temptation is to mix emotions with investing. Your candidate won, and so you are more optimistic--or your candidate lost, and now you’re more pessimistic. Stocks don’t know who you voted for. Avoiding emotionally-driven post-election buying and selling will be beneficial to your financial health.Read More
Identify & Profit from Distressed Investing
Turnaround Investing Blog
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Harnessing Activists to Help Find Turnaround Stocks
Activist investors often produce attractive returns for their clients; and you can still use their influence to help your position as a turnaround investor in two ways: Buy a position in a stock with the expectation that an activist will soon follow or buy after an activist takes a stake.
While one of the many dozens of activist funds might find their way to selecting your particular stock, this approach is likely to be frustrating and unrewarding. A better approach is to buy after the activist makes their move. Once an activist takes a stake in a company, how do you evaluate whether it is worthwhile to follow on? Admittedly, this is a bit of an art... Learn how you can harness the power of activist investors to find market-beating turnaround stocks.
Turnaround Letter Stock Pick Named Top Performer of 2017
What Last Year's Top Stock Pickers Are Buying in 2018
This Forbes write-up follows up on the recent Top Stock Tips report--naming The Turnaround Letter's Crocs recommendation the top performer of 2017: With 90% gains, CROX beat out 100 other investment ideas included in the report; and the stock continues to have value investing appeal, according to Putnam.
George notes, "We see additional upside for the stock in 2018 as management's efforts continue to bear fruit, though the gains will likely be more muted than we saw in 2017."
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