Activist investors—fund managers that hope to drive up share prices by actively changing their target company’s strategy—often produce attractive returns for their clients. If you’re not one of the fortunate few to be a client, you can still use their influence to help with your turnaround investing. As a turnaround investor, you can harness activists in two ways: buy a position in a stock with the expectation that an activist will soon follow, or buy after an activist takes a stake.Read More
Excerpted from the September 2017 Issue
Determining what EV/EBITDA multiple makes a stock attractive, just as with a P/E multiple, is admittedly a form of art. We uncovered four companies that have low EV/EBITDA multiples but noticeably higher P/E multiples that might be worth a closer look.Read More
A term that’s tossed around in the financial media is “value compression.” What exactly is value compression and how can it affect turnaround investing?Read More
With more than 30 years of turnaround investing and market-beating results, it's no surprise that media and market pundits often seek George Putnam's commentary, stock picks and unique contrarian expertise. Most recently, both Forbes and equities.com praised The Turnaround Letter.Read More
With nearly $180 billion in assets under management, “activist” investment funds have become a powerful force in the capital markets: Nearly 40% of companies in the S&P 500 attracted activist attention in recent years. According to Activist Insight, 320 companies in the U.S. experienced an activist campaign in just the first half of 2017; but who, exactly, are these activists, what are they after, and what role do they collectively serve?Read More
Excerpted from the August 2017 Issue
Even though energy bankruptcies are on the decline, we believe there will continue to be good opportunities for distressed/turnaround investors in that sector for some time.Read More
Steve Cohen, the high profile hedge fund manager, narrowly escaped a prison sentence for trading on insider information. Yet cable billionaire John Malone’s recent insider buying of $16 million of Liberty Global shares, where he is Chairman of the Board and clearly knows a lot of non-public information, is perfectly legal and may be a valuable signal to investors. Can both be possible at the same time? The not-so-simple answer: yes, and no.Read More
Excerpted from the July 2017 Issue
Amazon certainly is impressive; but, realistically, not every industry will be challenged by their profit-draining expansion, nor will every product be sold at large discounts on amazon.com. In this month's Turnaround Letter, we explore a brief selection of companies that would probably be among the last ones to succumb to Amazon Fever. Each has traits that are well outside of the Amazon model, are out of favor and have some interesting turnaround aspects.Read More
As turnaround investors, we approach REITs differently: Rather than focusing on a particular segment of the real estate market, we look for individual REITs that have been neglected by investors but have solid value--that should prevail regardless of the overall market.Read More
MarketWatch's Michael Brush has some advice for investors: "Own out-of-favor stocks held by active funds when they start beating indices again." Pointing out the difficulties currently faced by fund managers, the article cites George's observation that this "dynamic sets up a clever way to place a contrarian bet against the ETF boom." Brush cites three of George's recent stock picks and touts The Turnaround Letter's straightforward investing approach.Read More
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Harnessing Activists to Help Find Turnaround Stocks
Activist investors often produce attractive returns for their clients; and you can still use their influence to help your position as a turnaround investor in two ways: Buy a position in a stock with the expectation that an activist will soon follow or buy after an activist takes a stake.
While one of the many dozens of activist funds might find their way to selecting your particular stock, this approach is likely to be frustrating and unrewarding. A better approach is to buy after the activist makes their move. Once an activist takes a stake in a company, how do you evaluate whether it is worthwhile to follow on? Admittedly, this is a bit of an art... Learn how you can harness the power of activist investors to find market-beating turnaround stocks.
Turnaround Letter Stock Pick Named Top Performer of 2017
What Last Year's Top Stock Pickers Are Buying in 2018
This Forbes write-up follows up on the recent Top Stock Tips report--naming The Turnaround Letter's Crocs recommendation the top performer of 2017: With 90% gains, CROX beat out 100 other investment ideas included in the report; and the stock continues to have value investing appeal, according to Putnam.
George notes, "We see additional upside for the stock in 2018 as management's efforts continue to bear fruit, though the gains will likely be more muted than we saw in 2017."
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