Real Estate

This REIT carries some execution risk, but we like its very attractive valuation and aggressive new management.

Purchase Recommendation - December 2016

This mid-cap's revenue and earnings appear to be stable, operating results are well above debt covenant limits, cash flows look reasonably healthy and overall liquidity is substantial. The value stock's very high 10% dividend appears well-covered. Valuation at 5.8x next year’s FFO is nearly half that of its peers, leaving strong upside potential. 
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These five value stocks have significant exposure to the senior living sector--and strong long-term gain potential.

Seniors on the Rise; Senior Living Stocks Less So

The senior living sector has a lot going for it right now. First and foremost are demographic trends, with the number of senior citizens in the U.S. expected to rise dramatically in the coming decades. In addition, the industry remains quite fragmented with many senior living units run by small local operators. This means that public companies in the sector can continue to grow by acquisition, and eventually even these public companies may become acquisition targets for larger industry consolidators. Yet in spite of these favorable factors, most of the more focused senior living stocks have performed relatively poorly over the last year and half or so--creating a promising contrarian investing opportunity.
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These six REIT stock picks have stumbled but are now showing signs of recovery--and they offer attractive return potential.

REIT Turnarounds: Rebuilding Value

When investors think about turnarounds, they usually think about manufacturing, retail or service companies. One additional type of company that often is ignored is the real estate investment trust, or REIT. With REIT turnarounds, the mantra is “management, management, management.” That's because these often involve selling illiquid real estate, which can take considerable time. For patient investors, however, REIT turnarounds can offer substantial gains while often paying attractive dividends in the meantime.
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These nine value stock picks all had IPOs over the last few years, have solid businesses and have stocks trading well below their initial offering price.

Don't Chase Hot IPO's; Wait for Good Stocks to Fall

Many IPOs are for very decent companies--it's just that they tend to be over-hyped. As contrarians, our interest is sparked when a solid (although perhaps less exciting company) goes public but fails to capture investor enthusiasm. The stock then drifts down to a level where it becomes a good value investing opportunity.
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These 10 value stocks are poised for a rebound.

Homebuilding Stocks: Investors Still Fighting the Last War?

We believe that the homebuilding sector is currently on a solid foundation (pun intended) with favorable prospects. Most of the companies in the sector have strong balance sheets, and many of them took advantage of the 2008-09 collapse to buy up land on the cheap. While new home construction has rebounded from its lows, it still remains well below the long-term average as well as the level necessary to satisfy housing demand.
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Identify & Profit from Distressed Investing

Free Report: Turnaround Investing Mistakes

Turnaround Investing Blog

Turnaround Investing Blog

Amazon = US GDP 1970

Amazon joined Apple in reaching a $1 trillion market capitalization. $1 trillion is about the same as the total value of New York City property and the total value of loans at JP Morgan, the nation’s largest bank in terms of assets. Jeff Bezos’ $160 billion stake would place him (personally) as the #33 largest company in the S&P 500 in terms of market cap, next to Coca-Cola, Disney and Netflix. We aren’t bold enough to predict whether the shares will continue upwards or if they are in a bubble reaching maximum inflation. Setting aside for a moment their investment prospects, let’s admire the truly remarkable milestone that these two companies have reached. Read More.

EV/EBITDA: What Is It & Why Are We Using It More?

In reading recent editions of The Turnaround Letter, you have probably noticed that we are increasingly using EV/EBITDA as a valuation measure, rather than the better-known price/earnings multiple.  We thought it might be useful to describe this measure and why we like it.

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Turnaround Letter Stock Pick Named Top Performer of 2017

 

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What Last Year's Top Stock Pickers Are Buying in 2018

 

This Forbes write-up follows up on the recent Top Stock Tips report--naming The Turnaround Letter's Crocs recommendation the top performer of 2017: With 90% gains, CROX beat out 100 other investment ideas included in the report; and the stock continues to have value investing appeal, according to Putnam.

 

George notes, "We see additional upside for the stock in 2018 as management's efforts continue to bear fruit, though the gains will likely be more muted than we saw in 2017."