This stock is in limbo, but there are two paths to significant gains for shareholders.
Purchase Recommendation - March 2018
While an investment in this mid-cap insurer carries significant, speculative risks, we believe that the upside potential justifies these risks. On the one hand, there is a determined buyer working toward completing a cash deal worth 90% more than the current share price. On the other hand, if the deal fails to pass regulatory muster, the company is currently valued at a remarkably low 11% of book value and 2x earnings, even as the underlying businesses appear to be improving.Mid Cap Insurance
Identify & Profit from Distressed Investing
Turnaround Investing Blog
At first glance, the shares have decent appeal as a turnaround investment. Looking deeper, however, the fundamentals are not as strong and stable as they appear. Surplus cash flow is tight, a key driver is weakening, it is increasingly reliant on China and has other nagging issues. We don’t see the new CEO as a catalyst for change. Despite the “first glance appeal”, Tupperware isn’t a good fit as a turnaround stock.
Comparing Stocks Vs. Bonds
While the common stock of a turnaround candidate usually has the greatest upside potential, other classes of securities, such as bonds or preferred stock, may offer attractive profit possibilities with less risk. Many turnaround companies have only one class of securities available to investors but where there are different classes to choose from, it can pay to do a little extra analysis of the various options.
Turnaround Letter Stock Pick Named Top Performer of 2017
What Last Year's Top Stock Pickers Are Buying in 2018
This Forbes write-up follows up on the recent Top Stock Tips report--naming The Turnaround Letter's Crocs recommendation the top performer of 2017: With 90% gains, CROX beat out 100 other investment ideas included in the report; and the stock continues to have value investing appeal, according to Putnam.
George notes, "We see additional upside for the stock in 2018 as management's efforts continue to bear fruit, though the gains will likely be more muted than we saw in 2017."
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