We firmly believe in the merits of holding a larger and more diversified group of turnaround stocks: This helps reduce the risk from an individual bad selection and the temptation to sell a temporarily weak stock at the bottom. Also, we like all the stocks on our Recommended list, otherwise they wouldn’t be there. There’s another reason (although perhaps not a very scientific one): Just as a team featured on the cover of Sports Illustrated is said to become jinxed, we sometimes worry that the same fate might befall some of our Top Five picks too.
Construction and mining equipment maker Caterpillar (NYSE: CAT) announced that CEO Oberhelman will retire in January, to be replaced by company veteran Jim Umpleby as CEO and by board member Calhoun who will become chairman.
Automotive components maker BorgWarner (NYSE: BWA) held an Investor Day on September 7th, and outlined how it is well-positioned for profitable growth over the next seven years including strong participation in the rapidly-growing market for hybrid and electric vehicles.
Automotive wheel and components maker Accuride Corporation (NYSE: ACW) agreed to be acquired by Crestview Partners, a private equity firm, for $2.58/share in cash, a 55% premium to the prior-day closing price.
This automotive mid-cap's shares are among the cheapest in the market. The company has a relatively low level of debt, will likely produce over $400 million of free cash flow this year and is growing its organic revenues at a 4% annual rate. We think the wheels will keep rolling with this high-quality company, and when investors recognize that, the stock price should move up nicely.
With U.S. stocks well into their eighth year of a bull market and the economy showing increasing signs of strength, finding ideal turnaround stocks--those with all three ingredients--can be a needle-in-the-haystack project at best. What is an investor to do in a seemingly barren value stock landscape?
Market-Beating Profit: The 200+ Club
Turnaround stocks present a unique opportunity for savvy investors to buy in at bargain prices. Take a look at this list of just a few of our purchase recommendations that have realized a return rate of 200% or better:
* Bristow remains in our active portfolio (currently as a Hold), and 2,849% gain is as of 1/17/17.
Darren Fonda notes, "…besieged stocks often start to recuperate as the headlines fade and investors anticipate a return to precrisis sales and profits. The trick, of course, is to find companies that are more likely to rebound from a setback than collapse entirely."