This iconic automotive manufacturer has replaced key leadership, cooperated with investigators and continues to settle claims. New management has developed a reasonable plan to increase profit margins and reduce the company’s capital intensity while maintaining a steady new product cadence, and potential improvements in its governance could further boost shareholder value. The company's brands appear largely undamaged and business is growing. We believe this stock pick appears to be on the road to recovery.
We firmly believe in the merits of holding a larger and more diversified group of turnaround stocks: This helps reduce the risk from an individual bad selection and the temptation to sell a temporarily weak stock at the bottom. Also, we like all the stocks on our Recommended list, otherwise they wouldn’t be there. There’s another reason (although perhaps not a very scientific one): Just as a team featured on the cover of Sports Illustrated is said to become jinxed, we sometimes worry that the same fate might befall some of our Top Five picks too.
Construction and mining equipment maker Caterpillar (NYSE: CAT) announced that CEO Oberhelman will retire in January, to be replaced by company veteran Jim Umpleby as CEO and by board member Calhoun who will become chairman.
Automotive components maker BorgWarner (NYSE: BWA) held an Investor Day on September 7th, and outlined how it is well-positioned for profitable growth over the next seven years including strong participation in the rapidly-growing market for hybrid and electric vehicles.
Automotive wheel and components maker Accuride Corporation (NYSE: ACW) agreed to be acquired by Crestview Partners, a private equity firm, for $2.58/share in cash, a 55% premium to the prior-day closing price.
Steve Cohen, the high profile hedge fund manager, narrowly escaped a prison sentence for trading on insider information. Yet cable billionaire John Malone’s recent insider buying of $16 million of Liberty Global shares, where he is Chairman of the Board and clearly knows a lot of non-public information, is perfectly legal and may be a valuable signal to investors. Can both be possible at the same time? The not-so-simple answer: yes, and no.
Market-Beating Profit: The 200+ Club
Turnaround stocks present a unique opportunity for savvy investors to buy in at bargain prices. Take a look at this list of just a few of our purchase recommendations that have realized a return rate of 200% or better:
* Bristow remains in our active portfolio (currently as a Hold), and 1,390% gain is as of 7/19/17.
Five Struggling Stocks That Will Turn Around
Kiplinger points out that despite the post-election stock market surge, not all stocks have benefited from the uptick: "More than 100 issues in the S&P 500 have fallen in price this year, including dozens that have slumped by more than 10%....Yet these stocks won’t all stay in the dumps forever. Some will mount a comeback in 2017, making it an opportune time to try to identify the best candidates."
Quoting George Putnam, Kiplinger details five value opportunities for the new year.