We firmly believe in the merits of holding a larger and more diversified group of turnaround stocks: This helps reduce the risk from an individual bad selection and the temptation to sell a temporarily weak stock at the bottom. Also, we like all the stocks on our Recommended list, otherwise they wouldn’t be there. There’s another reason (although perhaps not a very scientific one): Just as a team featured on the cover of Sports Illustrated is said to become jinxed, we sometimes worry that the same fate might befall some of our Top Five picks too.
Construction and mining equipment maker Caterpillar (NYSE: CAT) announced that CEO Oberhelman will retire in January, to be replaced by company veteran Jim Umpleby as CEO and by board member Calhoun who will become chairman.
Automotive components maker BorgWarner (NYSE: BWA) held an Investor Day on September 7th, and outlined how it is well-positioned for profitable growth over the next seven years including strong participation in the rapidly-growing market for hybrid and electric vehicles.
Automotive wheel and components maker Accuride Corporation (NYSE: ACW) agreed to be acquired by Crestview Partners, a private equity firm, for $2.58/share in cash, a 55% premium to the prior-day closing price.
This automotive mid-cap's shares are among the cheapest in the market. The company has a relatively low level of debt, will likely produce over $400 million of free cash flow this year and is growing its organic revenues at a 4% annual rate. We think the wheels will keep rolling with this high-quality company, and when investors recognize that, the stock price should move up nicely.
Investing in distressed companies can produce enormous gains: When the recovery is successful, it is not uncommon for the stock to produce multiples of the initial investment and for bonds to generate 50-100% gains along with often-generous interest income. However, not all distressed companies recover, and some decay into bankruptcy. What happens to your investment then?
Market-Beating Profit: The 200+ Club
Turnaround stocks present a unique opportunity for savvy investors to buy in at bargain prices. Take a look at this list of just a few of our purchase recommendations that have realized a return rate of 200% or better:
* Bristow remains in our active portfolio (currently as a Hold), and 2,320% gain is as of 4/11/17.
Five Struggling Stocks That Will Turn Around
Kiplinger points out that despite the post-election stock market surge, not all stocks have benefited from the uptick: "More than 100 issues in the S&P 500 have fallen in price this year, including dozens that have slumped by more than 10%....Yet these stocks won’t all stay in the dumps forever. Some will mount a comeback in 2017, making it an opportune time to try to identify the best candidates."
Quoting George Putnam, Kiplinger details five value opportunities for the new year.