Post-Bankruptcy Stocks

Stocks of public companies that have recently emerged from bankruptcy

ARTICLES

We remain very cautious about high yield bonds.

High Yield Bonds: Cloudy Outlook for 2016

Last year at this time we urged caution in approaching high yield bonds. That caution proved well-founded as the asset class had a poor year.
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TCECQ Emerges

TransCoastal Plan Effective

TransCoastal's First Amended Joint Prepackaged Plan of Reorganization became effective, and the Company emerged from Chapter 11 protection.
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Further Uptick Predicted

2015 Bankruptcy Recap: 46% Increase Fueled by Oil & Gas/Mining Industry

Looking back at 2015, research reveals a 14% decline in overall business bankruptcies but a 46% uptick in public company Chapter 11 filings—with a striking 51% of those filings coming from the battered Oil & Gas/Mining sectors. Economic indicators point to further increases in corporate bankruptcy, in general, and Energy-related filings, in particular. Just a few days into 2016, this viewpoint has already been validated by Arch Coal's long-awaited $8 billion Chapter 11 filing—and continuing oil price plummets severe enough that OPEC will likely convene an emergency meeting to address "shattered" economies.
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2015 Bankruptcy Recap: 46% Increase Fueled by Oil & Gas/Mining Industry--Further Uptick Predicted

Looking back at 2015, research reveals a 14% decline in overall business bankruptcies but a 46% uptick in public company Chapter 11 filings—with a striking 51% of those filings coming from the battered Oil & Gas/Mining sectors. Economic indicators point to further increases in corporate bankruptcy, in general, and Energy-related filings, in particular. Just a few days into 2016, this viewpoint has already been validated by Arch Coal's long-awaited $8 billion Chapter 11 filing—and continuing oil price plummets severe enough that OPEC will likely convene an emergency meeting to address "shattered" economies.
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5 stocks picks are not enough for adequate diversification.

Reluctantly Picking Favorites for 2016

Just as we are always hesitant to make a market forecast, we never like to pick out just a few of our recommendations as our favorites. But also like the market forecast, around this time of the year we get persuaded to do it anyway.
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Energy & mining companies dominated Chapter 11 activity.

2015 Bankruptcy Review

We believe that there will be many good investment opportunities among the current crop of distressed securities. If oil prices were to rebound from their current level of about $35 per barrel to $60 to $70 per barrel--still well shy of the June 2014 price of around $100 per barrel--many of the oil & gas bonds currently trading for pennies on the dollar would soar.
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DOCUMENTS AND FILES

George Putnam's Favorite Stocks for 2016

stock picks

Distressed Investing Blog

Distressed Investing Blog

2015 Bankruptcy Recap: 46% Increase Fueled by Oil & Gas/Mining Industry--Further Uptick Predicted

Looking back at 2015, research reveals a 14% decline in overall business bankruptcies but a 46% uptick in public company Chapter 11 filings—with a striking 51% of those filings coming from the battered Oil & Gas/Mining sectors. Economic indicators point to further increases in corporate bankruptcy, in general, and Energy-related filings, in particular. Just a few days into 2016, this viewpoint has already been validated by Arch Coal's long-awaited $8 billion Chapter 11 filing—and continuing oil price plummets severe enough that OPEC will likely convene an emergency meeting to address "shattered" economies. Read More.

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Spotlight: Junk Bond Market

stock market advice

MarketWatch's Mark Hulbert recently tapped George's distressed investing expertise to determine the fate of the junk-bond market and what its nearly three-year decline likely means for your portfolio.

 

Hulbert writes, "What’s really going on? For insight, I turned to George Putnam, an expert in distressed-company investing. His Turnaround Letter advisory service has handily beaten the stock market over the past 15 years, according to the Hulbert Financial Digest’s tracking, by an impressive margin of 7.3 percentage points a year on an annualized basis."

 

Commenting on the rapid growth of high-yield exchange traded funds (ETF's), Putnam notes, "They have become the investment vehicle of choice for short-term investors….Those investors tend to be trend followers and, therefore, are just the opposite of being contrarian."

 

Read the full MarketWatch junk-bond article to find out what George thinks these recent indicators likely mean for future distressed investing profit.