It appears that much-needed stability is returning to this large-cap value stock, and continued strengthening of the economy could add the tailwinds of higher advertising prices and slower cord-cutting. The stock pick's valuation looks reasonable--even before factoring in the likely benefits of the new, more stable turnaround management.
While we believe that overall bankruptcy activity will remain at a high level for the foreseeable future, we think that filings in the energy sector may have peaked. We are optimistic that the increasing bankruptcy activity will provide some very attractive opportunities for turnaround investors.
We firmly believe in the merits of holding a larger and more diversified group of turnaround stocks: This helps reduce the risk from an individual bad selection and the temptation to sell a temporarily weak stock at the bottom. Also, we like all the stocks on our Recommended list, otherwise they wouldn’t be there. There’s another reason (although perhaps not a very scientific one): Just as a team featured on the cover of Sports Illustrated is said to become jinxed, we sometimes worry that the same fate might befall some of our Top Five picks too.
The market’s previous assumptions about the U.S. economy--sluggish growth, rising government regulation, near-zero interest rates--seem to have reversed overnight with the election of Donald Trump. We think the changes run deeper. Households and companies are starting to move past the financial crisis, which peaked eight years ago. Demand is picking up. With it, there is a good chance that the deflationary environment is shifting back toward inflation. Trump’s election could further boost growth through more government spending and fewer regulations. Risks to the markets may increase in 2017, and investors prepared for volatility can better hold firm when it arrives.
As the range of potential outcomes for a distressed security is wide, the path to the endgame is uncertain and the timing can be protracted, it is easy to let your emotions drive your strategy. Once you’ve made the decision to invest, the waiting--doing nothing--is the most difficult part.
Market-Beating Profit: The 200+ Club
Turnaround stocks present a unique opportunity for savvy investors to buy in at bargain prices. Take a look at this list of just a few of our purchase recommendations that have realized a return rate of 200% or better:
* Bristow remains in our active portfolio (currently as a Hold), and 2,320% gain is as of 4/11/17.
Five Struggling Stocks That Will Turn Around
Kiplinger points out that despite the post-election stock market surge, not all stocks have benefited from the uptick: "More than 100 issues in the S&P 500 have fallen in price this year, including dozens that have slumped by more than 10%....Yet these stocks won’t all stay in the dumps forever. Some will mount a comeback in 2017, making it an opportune time to try to identify the best candidates."
Quoting George Putnam, Kiplinger details five value opportunities for the new year.