Energy-related companies dominated the filings, with ten of the fifteen largest bankruptcies coming from this capital-intensive industry. Similarly, over 80% of all $86 billion in assets entering bankruptcy were from energy-related companies.
A lot has happened in the world since July 2011. In addition to recent events like Brexit, we’ve seen oil prices cut in half (twice), China’s growth go from boom to stall, the Taper Tantrum response to fears of the Fed reducing its quantitative easing program and S&P’s downgrade of U.S. debt. We’ve also seen the S&P 500 Index rise by over 55%. Nearly every non-energy company has participated, with some notable stocks increasing by much more...
So, where do we go from here? With the S&P 500 Index having already exceeded the 3% return we anticipated in our January issue, we have modest expectations for the rest of the year. Valuations for large-cap stocks remain high, and earnings growth looks tepid. Stocks with “low volatility” and stable earnings appear particularly expensive to us. Smaller-cap stocks, value stocks and those with unique situations continue to look much more appealing. In general, we expect the U.S. economy to...
Negative media headlines can be a great source of turnaround ideas. Stories about struggling companies, management turmoil, failed strategies, large financial losses, industrial accidents, lawsuits and the like can drive a stock to well-below reasonable levels and may provide a buying opportunity. Like all Wall Street axioms, however, “buy on bad news” must be accompanied by careful analysis to evaluate the potential for turnaround success.
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George reminds value investors: "Fortunately, many of the factors...just aren't present in the market, and the other reason that investors seem to be down on the banks is they sort of expected the Fed to raise interest rates a little faster than they have. And the banks do better when interest rates are rising because they have wider margins on their loans, but I think the Fed will gradually raise rates to we will see profits improve, and so I think this downturn is really temporary."