Distressed Investing Blog

George Putnam, one of the country's leading turnaround and distressed investing professionals, shares his timely insight on the economy and turnaround investing opportunities.

Whither this Election Year Market?

Excerpted from the May 2012 Issue

May 24, 2012

As political posturing and rhetoric continues to escalate, most of us are wondering about the election’s potential impact on our investments.

Historically, the stock market generally does well in a presidential election year. The S&P has risen in 12 of the 15 presidential election years since 1952. However, the trend has been less clear in recent election years, with stocks showing significant losses in 2000 and 2008. While election year results have generally been good, the best returns have typically come in the year before the election year—on average more than double the annual return rates seen in each of the other three years.

Much has also been made of how each candidate—and his respective party’s philosophies—will impact Wall Street. History shows us that the market has tended to respond more favorably to a Republican victory in past elections. In short, although there is some logic to the presidential cycle, you shouldn’t be trying to time the stock market—in an election year or any other time. Read more historic election year statistics.

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Distressed Investing Blog

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Mining Value Stocks: Beginning to Dig Out?

Because the crystal ball on all of this is still pretty hazy, I am once again suggesting that you focus on the larger players with the stronger balance sheets. Many of the smaller, more leveraged miners and metals producers may not survive if commodity prices stay low for a prolonged period. Read More.

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Dividend Turnaround Stock Picks

In this MoneyShow.com "Daily Guru" feature interview,George details three key advantages of dividend-paying turnaround stocks—and names four timely value investing stock picks suitable for conservative investors looking to cash in!

 

Dividend Turnaround Stocks