Distressed Investing Blog

George Putnam, one of the country's leading turnaround and distressed investing professionals, shares his timely insight on the economy and turnaround investing opportunities.

Whither this Election Year Market?

Excerpted from the May 2012 Issue

May 24, 2012

As political posturing and rhetoric continues to escalate, most of us are wondering about the election’s potential impact on our investments.

Historically, the stock market generally does well in a presidential election year. The S&P has risen in 12 of the 15 presidential election years since 1952. However, the trend has been less clear in recent election years, with stocks showing significant losses in 2000 and 2008. While election year results have generally been good, the best returns have typically come in the year before the election year—on average more than double the annual return rates seen in each of the other three years.

Much has also been made of how each candidate—and his respective party’s philosophies—will impact Wall Street. History shows us that the market has tended to respond more favorably to a Republican victory in past elections. In short, although there is some logic to the presidential cycle, you shouldn’t be trying to time the stock market—in an election year or any other time. Read more historic election year statistics.

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Distressed Investing Blog

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The China Syndrome: Stock Market Volatility & Turnaround Investing Strategy, Part II

We believe that it is very important not to let the market volatility spook you into bailing out of stocks or taking other similar drastic action. While it may be painful to ride out a sharp downturn, that is the best strategy. The market will recover from any of these downdrafts, usually quite quickly. Read More.

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2015 Stock Profit

George Putnam's Turnaround Letter has enjoyed market-beating returns for nearly 30 years now and 2015 is no different: 10 of this year's 12 sale recommendations have seen increases--with four of those 100% or higher. Despite recent stock market turbulence, 2015's closed out stock picks have realized an average gain of 69% thus far.


The chart below reflects The Turnaround Letter's past five sale recommendations.


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