Distressed Investing Blog

George Putnam, one of the country's leading turnaround and distressed investing professionals, shares his timely insight on the economy and turnaround investing opportunities.

Whither this Election Year Market?

Excerpted from the May 2012 Issue

May 24, 2012

As political posturing and rhetoric continues to escalate, most of us are wondering about the election’s potential impact on our investments.

Historically, the stock market generally does well in a presidential election year. The S&P has risen in 12 of the 15 presidential election years since 1952. However, the trend has been less clear in recent election years, with stocks showing significant losses in 2000 and 2008. While election year results have generally been good, the best returns have typically come in the year before the election year—on average more than double the annual return rates seen in each of the other three years.

Much has also been made of how each candidate—and his respective party’s philosophies—will impact Wall Street. History shows us that the market has tended to respond more favorably to a Republican victory in past elections. In short, although there is some logic to the presidential cycle, you shouldn’t be trying to time the stock market—in an election year or any other time. Read more historic election year statistics.

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Distressed Investing Blog

Distressed Investing Blog

Nothing Happened in October, Right?

The S&P 500 is up about 0.6% for the month. That makes the month seem pretty uneventful and benign. But for anyone following the stock market day-by-day, October seemed anything but uneventful and benign. Learn how contrarians can leverage this information for value stock opportunity. Read More.

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Current Total Returns

 

Value Stock Profit

Total returns cover the fulll year 2013.

Note: Returns are not adjusted for inflation.

 

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TL Spotlight

George Putnam has always followed the same straight-forward and highly-profitable investment philosophy. He published his first Turnaround Letter issue back in 1986, and readers have seen extraordinary short and long-term stock profit ever since.

 

In fact, 11 of this year's 12 sales recommendations saw gains--with five of those enjoying total returns greater than 100%. The Turnaround Letter's average profit for 2014's closed out stock picks is +82%:

 

2014 Closed Out Purchase Recommendations

Value Stock Picks

* Calculation includes dividends and price changes between purchase recommendation and current price.

 

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