Excerpted from the February 2017 Issue
We created a different version of the Dogs of the Dow: We selected the seven stocks that have completely missed the rally over the past three years. If these lazy dogs get off the porch, they could have a market-beating run. All seven are solid, well-run companies with healthy balance sheets. Many offer attractive yields. Some offer defensive traits should the stock market or oil prices turn downward. Others have unique company-specific aspects that could bring them back to life.Read More
Each year MoneyShow selects a "Top Pick" for the coming year based on its potential performance and profits in the new year. This year, George Putnam was selected to make the Top Pick for 2017: Oaktree Capital Group (OAK).Read More
Distressed bonds can be priced below their fair value when the supply of distressed securities overwhelms the demand, creating higher returns for buyers if the company recovers. To astute investors, these extra discounts can tilt the game to their favor.Read More
Excerpted from the January 2017 Issue
While we believe that overall bankruptcy activity will remain at a high level for the foreseeable future, we think that filings in the energy sector may have peaked. We are optimistic that the increasing bankruptcy activity will provide some very attractive opportunities for turnaround investors.Read More
With U.S. stocks well into their eighth year of a bull market and the economy showing increasing signs of strength, finding ideal turnaround stocks--those with all three ingredients--can be a needle-in-the-haystack project at best. What is an investor to do in a seemingly barren value stock landscape?Read More
Excerpted from the January 2017 Issue
The market’s previous assumptions about the U.S. economy--sluggish growth, rising government regulation, near-zero interest rates--seem to have reversed overnight with the election of Donald Trump. We think the changes run deeper. Households and companies are starting to move past the financial crisis, which peaked eight years ago. Demand is picking up. With it, there is a good chance that the deflationary environment is shifting back toward inflation. Trump’s election could further boost growth through more government spending and fewer regulations. Risks to the markets may increase in 2017, and investors prepared for volatility can better hold firm when it arrives.Read More
Adding a sizable debt burden on top of the profit uncertainty will further expand the range of possible outcomes; and this very wide range creates inefficient pricing, as investors can have very different views on what these bonds are actually worth. For the buyer of distressed bonds, this uncertainty and inefficiency are powerful sources of potentially high returns.Read More
Distressed investing usually involves greater risk than turnaround investing, but can also offer higher returns. Given the risk, most investors in distressed securities focus on bonds, which can provide greater downside protection.Read More
It’s bargain hunting season again. Holiday shoppers flock to the malls and their favorite websites, and savvy investors search the stock market for year-end discounts.Read More
Excerpted from the December 2016 Issue
Investors have newfound enthusiasm for domestic economic growth, as a Trump presidency could bring new infrastructure spending, lighter regulatory burdens and lower corporate taxes. While the distance between campaign promises and corporate profits can be vast, we agree with the market’s general assessment of how government policies might change.Read More
Learn & Avoid These 10 Common Mistakes
Turnaround Investing Blog
Watch to see if ADP’s CEO Carlos Rodriguez inadvertently helps Pershing, and his aggressive and sometimes personal stance against Ackman could backfire. Overall, because of the stock’s strong returns and Ackman’s weak credibility, we would give this activist campaign a low chance of making ADP a successful turnaround investment. For turnaround investors, the Trian campaign appears to have a win-win opportunity for investors--either Peltz joins the board and learns enough to re-invigorate P&G, or loses and management must either execute (boosting earnings and the shares) or they will face a more drastic proxy campaign with higher odds of success down the road. We think the P&G campaign could turn out well for shareholders.
Warrants: A Solid Investment Opportunity
Warrants provide a valuable tool for the savvy investor. When selected and implemented well, they can be a smart addition to a diversified investor’s portfolio. Like options, warrants are not equity. They only convey the right to buy equity. As such, neither holder is entitled to dividend rights, pre-emptive rights, proxy voting or any share of any liquidation.
Warrants' return potential can be very high, but they also carry significant risks. Learn what they are, how they work, strategies to minimize risk and find profit with warrants.
Here's Why You Should Invest in Asset Managers
This Forbes article cites a recent MoneyShow write-up that recommends investors take advantage of the strong stock market and potential interest rate hike by "putting some of your investment assets into the shares of asset management stocks."
The article praises The Turnaround Letter's OAK purchase recommendation and quotes George Putnam: "As the corporate debt binge that we’ve experienced since 2009 comes to an end, Oaktree will benefit from a growing number of restructurings and bankruptcies."
Learn more about Putnam's investing success with turnaround stocks.
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