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George Putnam, one of the country's leading turnaround and distressed investing professionals, shares his timely insight on the economy and turnaround investing opportunities.

Watch for Senior Management Changes

Turnaround investing can be very profitable, but how do contrarians go about selecting the most potentially lucrative opportunities? One proven technique is to watch for management changes. Just as real estate experts say there are three keys to success in real estate, we believe there are three keys to success in turnarounds: management, management, management.
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Will They or Won't They Raise Rates? Don't Pay Any Attention to the Noise

Excerpted from the June 2016 Issue
For what seems like the umpteenth time over the last several years, investors – in both stocks and bonds – are once again focused on the questions of “Will the Fed raise interest rates? When? And by how much?” The stock and bond markets often react quite sharply to whatever the “expert” view is on any given day.
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Comparing Stocks and Bonds

While the common stock of a turnaround candidate usually has the greatest upside potential, other classes of securities, such as bonds or preferred stock, may offer attractive profit possibilities with less risk.
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Look for Special Problems that Do Not Affect the Business

Sometimes a company will struggle because of an isolated problem that is not related to its core business prospects. Litigation is a common example. When an otherwise healthy company becomes encumbered with a potentially major liability, management gets distracted and investors flee. A mighty battleship can’t escape its anchor. However, if the company can resolve this problem its stock and bonds may advance sharply and present a potentially lucrative turnaround investing opportunity.
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Who Owns The Stock?

Year after year, many of the biggest winners on Wall Street are struggling companies that turn themselves around and return to favor with investors, but not every laggard is going to turn into a success story. You can improve your chances of spotting a successful opportunity by following some basic rules that apply to almost all turnarounds.
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Traditional Retailers: Will Brick-and-Mortar Stores Disappear?

Excerpted from the April 2016 Issue
Our answer is “No, at least not for many decades,” but many investors appear to disagree. When some retailers posted disappointing results last autumn, many retail stocks dropped 40-50% from highs set only a few months earlier.
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When to Buy Bonds Instead of Stock

Excerpted from the March 2016 Issue
The key to deciding where to invest in a company’s capital structure--as with any investment decision--is evaluating risk and potential reward. Unfortunately, however, one of the fundamental rules of investing is that bigger rewards (higher returns) almost always come with higher risks...and vice versa. This is key for anyone deciding the most prudent investment strategy when it comes to distressed securities.
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What's With the Stock Market?

Excerpted from the February 2016 Issue
January was a tough month for most investors. Where does the market go from here? Of course, we don’t know for sure; but we do think the gloom and doom is overdone.
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2015 Bankruptcy Recap: 46% Increase Fueled by Oil & Gas/Mining Industry--Further Uptick Predicted

Looking back at 2015, research reveals a 14% decline in overall business bankruptcies but a 46% uptick in public company Chapter 11 filings—with a striking 51% of those filings coming from the battered Oil & Gas/Mining sectors. Economic indicators point to further increases in corporate bankruptcy, in general, and Energy-related filings, in particular. Just a few days into 2016, this viewpoint has already been validated by Arch Coal's long-awaited $8 billion Chapter 11 filing—and continuing oil price plummets severe enough that OPEC will likely convene an emergency meeting to address "shattered" economies.
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Learn George Putnam's Turnaround Secrets

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Don't Make Too Much of Price History

It can be tempting to look at a depressed stock and think, “it used to trade at 40 and now it’s at 8 – therefore it must be a bargain.” Unfortunately, the fact that a stock once traded at a higher price does not guarantee that it will ever get back there. One big reason that a stock trades so much lower than before: its earnings potential or assets have deteriorated. Without some fundamental improvement, the share price will continue to lag, or worse. Read More.

Market-Beating Profit: The 200+ Club

Turnaround stocks present a unique opportunity for savvy investors to buy in at bargain prices. Take a look at this list of just a few of our purchase recommendations that have realized a return rate of 200% or better:

* Bristow remains an our active purchase recommendation, currently as a "Hold," and 1,928% stock profit is as of 8/11/16.

Retail Turnaround Trio

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MoneyShow.com interviewed George to learn more about his favorite value stock picks for today's market. In "Retail Turnaround Trio," Steve Halpern highlights three of The Turnaround Letter's recently-profiled retailers: JWN, TIF and SPLS.

 

Putnam notes, "Well the retailing sector is undergoing very fundamental change as people move away from the bricks and mortar mall doors to buying more and more online but that's not going to wipe out all of the old-fashioned retailers. Starting the middle of 2015, investors just moved away from retailers en masse and a number of them are trading at about half the level they were a year ago. We thought some of the higher quality names that definitely will be survivors looked interesting."

 

Learn more about these three retail stocks poised for a turnaround.