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George Putnam, one of the country's leading turnaround and distressed investing professionals, shares his timely insight on the economy and turnaround investing opportunities.

Mind the GAAP Gap

Excerpted from the September 2016 Issue
A good place to start is in the company’s filings with the SEC--in which Non-GAAP earnings must be reconciled with GAAP results. Earnings conference call transcripts, available for free for most companies, can reveal management’s reasoning. Investors will also want to look at history--how often and how large have adjustments been over the past five years? To be most effective, the investor can use both GAAP and Non-GAAP numbers. Minding the GAAP gap can help improve the chances that your stock profits become recurring.
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Avoid This Common Turnaround Investing Mistake

Turnaround investors recognize the opportunity in a battered stock well before the rest of the market and want to pounce immediately. But even if the fundamentals look attractive and there is a margin of safety in the valuation, the stock can still decline--sometimes substantially.
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Don't Make Too Much of Price History

It can be tempting to look at a depressed stock and think, “it used to trade at 40 and now it’s at 8 – therefore it must be a bargain.” Unfortunately, the fact that a stock once traded at a higher price does not guarantee that it will ever get back there. One big reason that a stock trades so much lower than before: its earnings potential or assets have deteriorated. Without some fundamental improvement, the share price will continue to lag, or worse.
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Focus on Worth not Price, to Create Stock Profit

One common stock market pitfall can be mistaking a low-priced stock for being cheap. Many stocks trade at low prices, say under $5 per share; but this is no indication of real value--or whether it’s a bargain. What really matters is what shares are worth.
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Number of Public Companies Shrinking?

Excerpted from the August 2016 Issue
There doesn’t seem to be much incentive to go public these days. This trend seems likely to continue. What is less clear is the impact: Do valuations increase for the remaining public companies as the supply diminishes? Will individual investors have less access to the best new companies? What will happen when interest rates rise and close off the spigot of cheap money driving private deals?
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Post-Bankruptcy Value Investing Opportunities

Most investors think of bankruptcy as bad. As a result, they tend to avoid the stocks of companies that have been through a U.S. Bankruptcy Court restructuring, but Chapter 11 can be very beneficial to a company and its post-bankruptcy stock.
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Watch Headlines for Turnaround Stock Opportunities

Negative media headlines can be a great source of turnaround ideas. Stories about struggling companies, management turmoil, failed strategies, large financial losses, industrial accidents, lawsuits and the like can drive a stock to well-below reasonable levels and may provide a buying opportunity. Like all Wall Street axioms, however, “buy on bad news” must be accompanied by careful analysis to evaluate the potential for turnaround success.
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Greater Cash Flow = Greater Recovery Prospects

The stronger a company’s cash flows are relative to its obligations, the greater its chances for recovery. If cash flows exceed its obligations, the company has resources and time. If, however, cash flows barely match or fall short of its obligations, the company fights not only its operational challenges, but also fights the clock.
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Learn George Putnam's Turnaround Secrets

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Turnaround Investing Blog

Patience May Be A Virtue--But Know When It's Time to Move On

There is no easy way to determine how much patience is appropriate; but if your turnaround is well into its fourth year without meaningful progress, it could be time to move on. Read More.

Market-Beating Profit: The 200+ Club

Turnaround stocks present a unique opportunity for savvy investors to buy in at bargain prices. Take a look at this list of just a few of our purchase recommendations that have realized a return rate of 200% or better:

* Bristow remains an our active purchase recommendation, currently as a "Hold," and 1,928% stock profit is as of 8/11/16.

Retail Turnaround Trio

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MoneyShow.com interviewed George to learn more about his favorite value stock picks for today's market. In "Retail Turnaround Trio," Steve Halpern highlights three of The Turnaround Letter's recently-profiled retailers: JWN, TIF and SPLS.

 

Putnam notes, "Well the retailing sector is undergoing very fundamental change as people move away from the bricks and mortar mall doors to buying more and more online but that's not going to wipe out all of the old-fashioned retailers. Starting the middle of 2015, investors just moved away from retailers en masse and a number of them are trading at about half the level they were a year ago. We thought some of the higher quality names that definitely will be survivors looked interesting."

 

Learn more about these three retail stocks poised for a turnaround.