Does the poor performance of the stock market in May indicate that the U.S. is headed for a new recession?
June 15, 2012
This question comes up frequently when the market takes a dip. While it is true that the stock market does sometimes anticipate a recession, the market is far from an accurate economic indicator. As the Nobel prizewinning economist Paul Samuelson once said, “The stock market has predicted nine of the last five recessions.” In fact, in the last few days as I was preparing to write this, the market has already staged a sharp turnaround. Bottom line: don’t try to time the market!
(Question submitted by Richard M.)
View more "Ask George" Q&A
or submit your own question.
George Putnam's Favorite Stocks for 2016
Distressed Investing Blog
Selecting a turnaround stock with solid profit potential can almost be considered an art form in itself. As noted in our other distressed investing blog entries there are many factors to evaluate to determine the real possibilities in any turnaround situation, and here is one more: Look for solid core businesses.
Your Financial Security is Serious Business...
so why should you trust The Turnaround Letter?
The Turnaround Letter's 15-year returns were 11.3%--vs. S&P's 4.4%
30 Years of Turnaround Investing Experience & Reliable Stock Market Advice
2016's Closed Out Purchase Recommendations Averaged 49% Stock Profit
Diverse Monthly Stock Picks Personally Selected by George Putnam
Banking on a Financial Sector Turnaround
MoneyShow.com recently tapped George's favorable opinion for a banking industry rebound. In "Turnaround Expert's Banking Bets," Steve Halpern highlights a trio of Putnam's top stock picks from the battered financial sector.
George reminds value investors: "Fortunately, many of the factors...just aren't present in the market, and the other reason that investors seem to be down on the banks is they sort of expected the Fed to raise interest rates a little faster than they have. And the banks do better when interest rates are rising because they have wider margins on their loans, but I think the Fed will gradually raise rates to we will see profits improve, and so I think this downturn is really temporary."
Get more stock market advice.
Copyright © All Rights Reserved.
Design, CMS, Hosting & Web Development :: ePublishing.